Critical Threats: Africa File 2/10/2023

 


 
 
The Africa File is an analysis and assessment of the Salafi-jihadi movement in Africa and related security and political dynamics.
 
 
AFRICA FILE: AL QAEDA–LINKED MILITANTS TAKE CONTROL IN NORTHERN MALI
 
February 10, 2023
 
 
Key Takeaway: Al Qaeda’s Sahel branch, Jama’at Nusrat al Islam wa al Muslimeen (JNIM), is filling the security vacuum in northern Mali following the French withdrawal in 2022. JNIM is establishing itself as the primary partner and power broker for former rebel groups and communities in the north, an area where the Malian government has historically lacked presence. These communities face rising violence from both the Islamic State and the Russian Wagner Group, which partners with the Malian government. This trend will likely lead to JNIM establishing de facto control over northern Mali, a takeover that will feed long-term instability in Mali and its neighbors and increase the resources and opportunities available to al Qaeda in Africa. 
 
 
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The Critical Threats Project is an initiative of the American Enterprise Institute dedicated to tracking and analyzing key and emerging national security threats to the United States in order to inform the policy debate.



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