CSIS International Security Program | April 2022

 

CSIS International Security Program | April 2022

Dear Colleagues, It's my pleasure to send you the April 2022 edition of the ISP Brief, the monthly newsletter of the CSIS International Security Program. The ISP Brief features CSIS reports and analysis written by our scholars and includes externally published articles, media highlights such as video interviews and podcasts, and links to recent and upcoming virtual events. This month our scholars produced analysis on the U.S.’s inventory of Javelins, countering a resurgent terrorist threat in Afghanistan, the Pentagon’s progress on countering extremism in the military, the Global Fragility Strategy, the U.S.-Australia alliance, and our Aerospace Security Project published the fifth edition of their Space Threat Assessment. We had the pleasure of hosting a range of thought leaders, such as Dutch Foreign Minister Wopke Hoekstra, Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence Dr. Stacey Dixon, Canadian Minister of Defence Anita Anand, and Chief of Naval Operations Admiral Michael Gilday, among others. I welcome your feedback on this newsletter and its contents at ispoutreach@csis.org. I also invite you to follow us on Twitter, LinkedIn, Instagram, and Facebook for the very latest on ISP's work.  Sincerely, Dr. Seth G. Jones  Senior Vice President Harold Brown Chair Director | International Security Program CSIS | Center for Strategic and International Studies 1616 Rhode Island Ave, NW | Washington, DC 20036

WELCOME TO ISP Dr. Kathleen J. McInnis Rejoins CSIS as Senior Fellow and Director of the Smart Women, Smart Power Initiative   MORE HERE Kelsey Hartigan joins Project on Nuclear Issues as Deputy Director   MORE HERE FEATURED REPORT: Space Threat Assessment 2022 In the 2022 Space Threat Assessment, Todd Harrison, Kaitlyn Johnson, Makena Young, Nicholas Wood, and Alyssa Goessler cover the growing counterspace capabilities of China, Russia, India, Iran, North Korea, and others. It also analyzes several key events, including the 2021 Russian anti-satellite (ASAT) test, the supposed Chinese Fractional Orbital Bombardment System (FOBS) test, and Russian jamming in Ukraine. READ HERE Maritime Security Dialogue: The Future of the U.S. Navy On April 28, ISP hosted a Maritime Security Dialogue with Admiral Michael Gilday, Chief of Naval Operations, for a discussion on the future of maritime security and the state of the Navy, moderated by Vice Admiral Peter H. Daly, USN (Ret.), with introductory remarks from Dr. Tom Karako. Read transcript here. WATCH HERE A Conversation with the Honorable Anita Anand, Minister of National Defence of Canada On April 28, Dr. Kathleen McInnis hosted the Canadian Minister of Defence Anita Anand on Smart Women, Smart Power for a discussion on a variety of issues important to Canadian defense policy from Ukraine, the Arctic, and the importance of NORAD. Read transcript here. WATCH HERE BRIEF: Navigating Emerging Technology and Evolving Threats in the U.S.-Australia Alliance At a time when regional states see growing instability and are concerned about their place in an increasingly tense region, the U.S.-Australia alliance has an opportunity to lead by example. Learn more from John Schaus and Carolina Ramos. READ HERE EVENT: Dutch Foreign Minister Wopke Hoekstra on Transatlantic Security after Ukraine On April 14, Dr. Seth G. Jones hosted Wopke Hoekstra, Vice Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs of the Netherlands, for a discussion on the war in Ukraine, its implications for transatlantic security cooperation, and the view from the Netherlands on what measures should come next. Read transcript here. WATCH HERE EVENT: A Conversation with Dr. Stacey Dixon, Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence On April 13, CSIS senior associate (non-resident) Nina Easton hosted Dr. Stacey A. Dixon, Principal Deputy Director of National Intelligence (PDDNI) on Smart Women, Smart Power for a discussion on her remarkable career path, how the intelligence community is being positioned for the future, and how it's promoting competitiveness and innovation. This event concluded with a discussion honoring the late Virginia Hall, with the Hon. Ellen McCarthy and Suzanne Spaulding. Read transcript here. WATCH HERE   COMMENTARY: Will the United States Run Out of Javelins Before Russia Runs Out of Tanks? The United States has supplied Ukraine with thousands of Javelins, but U.S. inventory is dwindling. Mark Cancian analyzes whether Javelins will inflict enough Russian combat losses to produce a battlefield stalemate before Ukraine runs out of its most effective anti-tank weapons. READ HERE   REPORT: Countering a Resurgent Terrorist Threat in Afghanistan   With al-Qaeda and the self-proclaimed Islamic State in Khorasan growing in strength since the U.S. withdrawal, Dr. Seth G. Jones lays out a strategy for the United States to prevent a renewed terrorist threat from emerging in Afghanistan in his latest report with the Council on Foreign Relations.​​ READ HERE UPCOMING ONLINE EVENTS The Falklands at 40 Featuring: John Lehman, Dr. Dov Zakheim, Dr. Sebastian Bruns, Will Dossel, and Dr. Tom Karako Wednesday, May 4, 2022 10:00 am - 11:30 am ET Submit questions here.   Register 'Civics at Work' Launch Event Featuring: Brad Smith, Tom Fanning, Teresa Hutson, Michael Carney, Dr. Kathleen Hall Jamieson, and Suzanne Spaulding Wednesday, May 4, 2022 2:00 pm - 3:30 pm ET   Register Book Event: Jennifer Sciubba's "8 Billion and Counting" Featuring: Dr. Jennifer D. Sciubba and Erol Yayboke Thursday, May 5, 2022 10:00 am - 11:00 am ET   Register EXECUTIVE EDUCATION: Taiwan in the Balance Featuring: Dr. Bonny Lin, Jude Blanchette, and Dr. Benjamin Jensen Thursday, June 2, 2022 Registration Deadline: May 12   Register PUBLICATIONS Winning the Interdiction Fight in Ukraine by Dr. Benjamin Jensen Ranking the World’s Major Powers: A Graphic Comparison of the United States, Russia, China, and Other Selected Countries by Dr. Anthony H. Cordesman U.S. Military Aid to Ukraine Accelerates by Mark Cancian Our Armed Forces Strength Depends on Diversity by Stevan Molinar The Latest Aid Package to Ukraine Is a Major Escalation of Support by Mark Cancian The Ukraine War: Preparing for the Longer-Term Outcome by Dr. Anthony H. Cordesman and Grace Hwang How to Win the Battle in Eastern Ukraine by Dr. Benjamin Jensen This Is the War’s Decisive Moment by Dr. Eliot A. Cohen in The Atlantic Assessing the Pentagon's Progress on Countering Extremism in the Military by Catrina Doxsee and Michelle Macander Foreign Volunteers in Ukraine: Warfighters or Propaganda Tools? by Mark Cancian The Global Fragility Strategy Gets a Refresh by Erol Yayboke, Catherine Nzuki, and Anastasia Strouboulis The Other Side of Chinese Sea Power: “White Area Warfare” by Dr. Anthony H. Cordesman Zelensky’s 1 Percent Solution for Tanks and Aircraft: A Bold but Unfortunately Unworkable Idea by Mark Cancian Covid Response Update: February 5- April 1 by Mark Cancian and Robert Maxwell PAST EVENTS